Description

This analysis provides a forecast of SOL prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2024-12-29 1.415429e-03 0.001585 0.001756 0.001942 0.002137 0.002335 0.002551
2025-01-05 1.170941e-03 0.001415 0.001671 0.001956 0.002264 0.002585 0.002942
2025-01-12 9.922650e-04 0.001293 0.001618 0.001992 0.002403 0.002841 0.003336
2025-01-19 7.843687e-04 0.001117 0.001491 0.001932 0.002431 0.002969 0.003589
2025-01-26 6.371559e-04 0.000995 0.001411 0.001917 0.002499 0.003139 0.003884
2025-02-02 5.142260e-04 0.000887 0.001339 0.001901 0.002562 0.003298 0.004165
2025-02-09 4.590680e-04 0.000858 0.001355 0.001987 0.002739 0.003584 0.004587
2025-02-16 3.772007e-04 0.000783 0.001310 0.001993 0.002819 0.003758 0.004883
2025-02-23 2.776670e-04 0.000670 0.001206 0.001921 0.002803 0.003817 0.005043
2025-03-02 1.989820e-04 0.000574 0.001115 0.001859 0.002791 0.003878 0.005203
2025-03-09 1.384153e-04 0.000493 0.001037 0.001807 0.002789 0.003947 0.005368
2025-03-16 9.399441e-05 0.000428 0.000976 0.001772 0.002804 0.004032 0.005552
2025-03-23 5.764225e-05 0.000376 0.000942 0.001793 0.002916 0.004266 0.005948
2025-03-30 3.138457e-05 0.000331 0.000917 0.001825 0.003043 0.004522 0.006378
2025-04-06 1.458100e-05 0.000296 0.000902 0.001871 0.003191 0.004806 0.006844
2025-04-13 9.692269e-07 0.000229 0.000824 0.001822 0.003212 0.004935 0.007127
2025-04-20 NaN 0.000184 0.000776 0.001813 0.003283 0.005125 0.007484
2025-04-27 NaN 0.000145 0.000730 0.001802 0.003350 0.005308 0.007832
2025-05-04 NaN 0.000137 0.000747 0.001888 0.003548 0.005657 0.008381
2025-05-11 NaN 0.000110 0.000717 0.001896 0.003638 0.005869 0.008763
2025-05-18 NaN 0.000071 0.000642 0.001827 0.003619 0.005940 0.008973
2025-05-25 NaN 0.000042 0.000576 0.001767 0.003608 0.006018 0.009189
2025-06-01 NaN 0.000022 0.000520 0.001717 0.003608 0.006110 0.009419